HISTORICAL SPY
2009–2026 VIEWAsk anything about market history.
ONE SEARCH · FIVE CONNECTED SECTIONSDATED PRODUCTION READ · AS OF AUG 24, 2026
One question. The complete historical read.
One search opens Historical, Overlay, Macro, Outcomes and Seasonality.
OVERLAY SPY
5 REAL ANALOGSPlay those windows forward from today.
MEDIAN FORWARD 3M+7.2%historical medianMEDIAN DRAWDOWN−3.2%AVG MATCH SCORE90.9BASE RATE80%
MACRO SPY
REGIME CONTEXTCheck whether the backdrop agrees.
DXY DOLLAR INDEX100.0 PCTL 36
Softening
Gold/Copper RISK APPETITE9.47 PCTL 56
Neutral
Oil COMMODITY TAPE129.3 PCTL 94
Oil elevated
2s10s CURVE SPREAD1.05 PCTL 100
Steep
OUTCOMES SPY
5 ANALOGSSee what happened next, each time.
ANALOG WINDOWSCORE+21D+1Y+2Y
Q3 '13–Q1 '14range-bound · low vol · near highs91.4+1.6%+13.2%+14.4%
Q1 '13–Q3 '13range-bound · low vol · near highs91.4+1.8%+20.0%+31.6%
Q1 '21–Q3 '21range-bound · moderate vol · near highs90.6+1.8%−1.2%+3.1%
Q4 '10–Q2 '11range-bound · low vol · near highs90.6−3.9%+4.3%+26.7%
Q2 '96–Q4 '96range-bound · moderate vol · near highs · fear elevated90.5+6.6%+35.8%+66.1%
AVERAGE OF 5across the analogs above—+1.6%+14.4%+28.4%
SEASONALITY SPY
20Y DAILYPut the ticker inside its calendar history.
GO DEEPERPRO TOOLKIT · FIVE SPECIALIST TOOLS
When the question changes, go deeper.
Pro tools to test a rule, inspect a catalyst, compare markets, and scan the close.
SPY: the three-month move subdued, with today's move elevated.
WED - AUG 26NVIDIA earnings5:00 PM ETVERIFIED
WED - AUG 26US GDP + durable goods8:30 AM ETVERIFIED
WED - AUG 26Salesforce earnings5:00 PM ETVERIFIED
GC=F—closest historical windows.
SCANNER PREVIEWPEP · 6M ANALOG CLUSTER
ProFree opens a useful first result. Pro unlocks every result, unlimited reads, saved work, alerts, and exports.Explore the tools
THE PREMISE
Every market feels unprecedented. Almost none are.
SILVER · 1996–2026 · TODAY’S WINDOW, MATCHED AGAINST REAL HISTORY
SAVED READSILLUSTRATIVE PRODUCT VIEW
Save the question. Return to the outcome.
A saved read keeps the original setup and forward window together. Return later to compare the historical range with what the market actually did.
AT SEARCHThe setup and data date shown at the time.FORWARD WINDOWThe horizon selected for the read.WHAT HAPPENEDThe realized path added as the window resolves.
How a completed read is revisited.
The historical median and realized path remain separate, so the original context can be compared with what later happened.
CURRENT WINDOWHISTORICAL MEDIANREALIZED PATH
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